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Pictet anticipate that returns across major asset classes will converge over the next five years. As a long-term investor, this presents you with an opportunity to reassess and refine your strategic asset allocation. Their experts share detailed forecasts and actionable recommendations.

Overview: The Great Convergence

Returns across developed market equities and bonds are converging. This shift marks the end of US exceptionalism and highlights the need for a new approach to portfolio construction.

Key insights:

  • The convergence of returns across asset classes signals a more challenging environment for traditional equity-bond portfolios, with nominal returns expected to be modest.
  • Emerging markets and European stocks are positioned to outperform thanks to a combination of growth-boosting structural reforms and public investment.
  • Investors will need to rethink traditional regional allocations and focus on structural growth to capture alpha in a low-return world
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EFI

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