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CEE forex outlook: what’s going on?

Enrique Díaz-Alvarez, Matthew Ryan, CFA, Roman Ziruk, Itsaso Apezteguia, Eduardo Moutinho & Michał Jóźwiak We’ve witnessed a rather mixed performance from the currencies in Central and Eastern Europe since our last update. All four of the currencies covered in this report have lost ground against…
LFI
10 November 2023
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Barometer: Geopolitical risks cast shadow over stocks

The conflict in the Middle East threatens to further destabilise the economy and financial markets. As a result, we remain neutral stocks and overweight bonds. Luca Paolini, Chief Strategist at Pictet Asset Management. Asset allocation: geopolitical vulnerabilities Just as the markets had started taking the…
LFI
08 November 2023
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Monthly house view | November 2023

Pictet Wealth Management’s latest positioning across asset classes and investment themes. Macroeconomy Business surveys offer tentative signs that world growth may be reaching a trough. Barring further escalation in geopolitical tensions, we could begin to see a modest uptick in global growth trends.US GDP growth…
LFI
08 November 2023
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Uncertainties feed into higher Treasury yields

‘Higher for longer’ base ratees together with an increase in the term premium keep pressure on 10- year US Treasury yields. Lauréline Renaud-Chatelain, Fixed-income strategist, Pictet Wealth Management. The US 10-year yield has risen substantially since September, briefly touching 5% on 23 October (before retreating…
LFI
08 November 2023
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Weekly View: Not thinking about thinking

Powell’s soft pivot César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investment Officer Pictet Wealth Management. Financial markets switched to risk-on mode last week, as a dovish pivot from the Federal Reserve and a big slowdown in US job creation fuelled expectations that US interest rates have peaked. The…
LFI
08 November 2023
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Weekly View: Markets spooked

Happy Halloween César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investment Officer Pictet Wealth Management. The US economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter and price pressures proved sticky in September, putting the spotlight on a Federal Reserve meeting this week for fresh guidance on policy rates.…
LFI
31 October 2023
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Geopolitics, rates or earnings?

Unsustainable fiscal path César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investment Officer Pictet Wealth Management. Consumer resilience and tightening financial conditions are battling to determine the course of the US economy, and a bumper round of earnings reports this week will help shed light on which is prevailing.…
LFI
27 October 2023