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EFI

Investing

Tariffs on trial

Waiting for the Supreme Court César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investments Officer Pictet Wealth Management. The week in review The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points last week with a “hawkish cut”, signaling resistance to a further reduction in December. The market adjusted…
EFI
05 November 2025
Investing

Demographics and Technology: A New Horizon for Global Growth

The world is entering a new economic era where demographic and technological forces are reshaping the foundations of growth. According to the latest report from the Pictet Research Institute, titled Demographics and Technology, the twin trends of population ageing and declining birth rates in advanced…
EFI
04 November 2025
Investing

Chickening out?

Fed focus César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investments Officer Pictet Wealth Management. The week in review Global stocks rose last week on robust corporate earnings and cooler-than-expected US inflation, which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this week. Expectations for the cut,…
EFI
29 October 2025
Investing

Signs of stress

Cockroaches in the market César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investments Officer Pictet Wealth Management. US 10-year Treasury yields fell below 4.0% last week on concerns about banks’ exposure to private credit as some regional lenders said they had been exposed to fraudulent loans, sparking a warning about…
EFI
22 October 2025
Investing

US fiscal situation: hardly sustainable

Last year, we identified a deteriorating fiscal backdrop in the US and argued that the unique status of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency and the depth of the US capital markets provide exceptional fiscal leeway. We also said US debt and deficit reduction…
EFI
17 October 2025
Investing

The great digital decoupling

When Chinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek launched a large language model in January with a similar performance to that of US rival OpenAI at a fraction of the cost and computing power, it did not just set the stage for a battle between the US…
EFI
17 October 2025
Investing

Trump China tariff threat 2.0

Trade headwinds César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investments Officer Pictet Wealth Management. US equities retreated after President Trump threatened to impose additional 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports from 1 November. Trump’s latest tariff salvo was a response to China's strict new restrictions on rare earth exports. Diplomatic…
EFI
14 October 2025
Investing

Japan heading for first female PM

César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investments Officer Pictet Wealth Management. Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elected Sanae Takaichi as its new president, putting on her course to become the country’s first female prime minister. Takaichi is seen as favouring fiscal expansion – a prospect that sent…
EFI
10 October 2025